2016 Oct 2nd
It is now Oct 3rd
There was no detritus on Oct 2nd; well, of course there
was detritus, there is always detritus, I was just unable to write about it.
Here are some interesting odds from Paddy Power. This is a
British betting outfit I sometimes cite because they have only money in mind;
they are not concerned at all with ideological matters. Here are the odds over
time for Hillary Clinton continuing as the Democratic party’s nominee for
president. These are not the odds of her winning the election, these are just
the odds of continuing to be the candidate, of not withdrawing for illness or
personal preference.
August 21, 33 to 1 (Meaning that you can bet 33 dollars on
Clinton to continue as the candidate. If you’re right you win a dollar and if you’re wrong you
lose 33 dollars. In short, the house is virtually certain that Clinton will
stay the course.)
August 31, 25 to 1 (Notice the slippage in just ten days).
September 8, 20 to 1 (Slippage continues).
September 15, 3 to 1 (This might reflect the pneumonia diagnosis
and Trump’s constant yammering about her health. It’s having an effect).
October 2, 8 to 1 (An
improvement but a long way from the 33/1 point from which we began just six
weeks ago).
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